tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8127621864952853243.post6241529225640652279..comments2017-05-29T10:47:37.189-04:00Comments on The BulletProof Monk: Hell, everybody else did it....The Bulletproof Monkhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03511723000675290849noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8127621864952853243.post-44687248810070083882008-10-30T22:51:00.000-04:002008-10-30T22:51:00.000-04:00Between the Bradley Effect...as described by a dem...Between the Bradley Effect...as described by a democrat pollster, incidentally...as a 7% spoiler, <BR/>And the hang-up rate (because I've failed to answer the phone three times myself)<BR/>And the Bradley Effect in the exit polling that occurred in the Kerry/Bush contest, I feel confident that this ain't over yet.<BR/>The IBD was 1/3 of ONE PERCENT within the final count.<BR/>The rest of the The Bulletproof Monkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03511723000675290849noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8127621864952853243.post-32031619512358293042008-10-30T22:13:00.000-04:002008-10-30T22:13:00.000-04:00That's an interesting theory.Wrt the IBD poll, I w...That's an interesting theory.<BR/><BR/>Wrt the IBD poll, I wouldn't have too much faith in their accuracy. Some issues were exposed with their methodology - see here:<BR/><BR/>http://blogs.wsj.com/numbersguy/mccain-and-the-youngest-voters-441/<BR/><BR/>As Nate Silver points out, almost everybody got the 2004 race right, but "this election is considerably more difficult to poll, and it's exposing Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8127621864952853243.post-8316659201018322402008-10-28T14:47:00.000-04:002008-10-28T14:47:00.000-04:00That's a good start. And it will predictably lead ...That's a good start. And it will predictably lead to a little confusion on Election night if the press actually predicts the race on exit polls that conflict with "real" hard numbers by morning.The Bulletproof Monkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03511723000675290849noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8127621864952853243.post-13000314094671630352008-10-27T18:28:00.000-04:002008-10-27T18:28:00.000-04:00I Predict the Bradley effect in VA will be at leas...I Predict the Bradley effect in VA will be at least 4 points.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com